In The Politics of Autism, I discuss health care issues and state Medicaid services for people with intellectual and developmental disabilities. Mitch McConnell has postponed the Senate vote on Trumpcare. One reason for the bill's extreme unpopularity is its impact on Medicaid.
In the Congressional Budget Office’s assessment, Medicaid spending under the Better Care Reconciliation Act of 2017 would be 26 percent lower in 2026 than it would be under the agency’s extended baseline, and the gap would widen to about 35 percent in 2036 (see Figure 1). Under CBO’s extended baseline, overall Medicaid spending would grow 5.1 percent per year during the next two decades, in part because prices for medical services would increase. Under this legislation, such spending would increase at a rate of 1.9 percent per year through 2026 and about 3.5 percent per year in the decade after that.
